Yellow metal sees correction; short and long-term outlook remains positive

According to a report by PTI, speculators trimmed their holdings on Friday, causing the price of gold to drop by 39 to 71,538 per 10 grams in futures trade. With a trading volume of 7,184 lots, gold futures for June delivery on the MCX closed down by 39 at 71,538 per 10 grams.

The decline in the price of precious metals was ascribed by analysts to weak global cues.

Also Read: Gold price today: MCX Gold trades lacklustre; why are gold prices falling? Will it remain under pressure in short term?

According to a PTI report, gold was trading 0.15 percent higher globally at USD 2,363.20 per ounce in New York.

Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities, highlighted that fact that the gold has traded weak this week, experiencing a significant selloff from 74,350 to 71,500, a drop of more than 2,800 from weekly highs. 

“This decline is primarily due to the reduced likelihood of the Fed cutting rates early, as indicated by the recent meeting minutes. Despite this pullback, the overall rally in gold remains strong, and this week’s decline should be viewed as a buying opportunity, with base support at 69,000. If prices fall below 69,000, a further selloff towards 66,000 could be expected,” said Trivedi.

As hopes for US interest rate cut started to wane, gold prices increased on Friday but were on track to dip for the first time in three weeks, according to a Reuters report.

Although bullion set a record high of $2,449.89 on Monday, it has subsequently dropped by almost 5%, Reuters said in its report. 

Overseas buyers found greenback-priced bullion less expensive as the dollar index gradually declined.

Also Read: Gold sheds $100 in 5 days, heads for worst weekly dip in 6 months on hawkish US Fed policy; Should you buy the dip?

Gold Price Outlook

According to an ANI report, Manoj Jain, the CEO of Indore-based Prithvi Finmart, stated that by year’s end, global gold prices are expected to be between USD 2,500 and USD 2,600. On the short run, he sees gold trading at 76,000 on the Indian market, and by year’s end, at 80,000.

He claimed that the demand for gold is being supported by the central bank of China as well as by retail purchases.

He said that all the fundamentals were good for purchasing.

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers’ director of commodities and currencies, Naveen Mathur, said that the US general elections are scheduled for November and that inflation is still high, so there is less chance of a rate decrease in the near future, which might put pressure on gold prices. As a result, the MCX July futures contract’s gold prices will likely challenge their strong support, which is located between 70,200 and 69,800 per 10 gm.

In light of international concerns, Mathur said that the negative might not hold true next month. Furthermore, gold prices are supported by long-term fundamentals, and purchasing may continue at lower levels.

In the next one to two months, Mathur anticipates fresh highs for gold.

Also Read: Gold and silver prices today on 24-05-2024: Check latest rates in your city

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts, experts, and brokerage firms, not Mint. We advise investors to consult certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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Published: 25 May 2024, 07:56 AM IST

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